It was pointed out that even if countries around the world implement their decarbonization pledges without exception, there is only a 14% chance of curbing warming below the global temperature rise limit targeted by the international community.
United in Science, an international association of climate and environmental organizations such as the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), released a report on the 18th (local time) and said, “Extreme and widespread weather events caused by climate change continue this year.”
The report expressed concern that the international community’s goal of curbing warming is becoming increasingly difficult to achieve.
Through the Paris Climate Change Convention in 2015, the international community agreed to keep the average global temperature rise significantly lower than 2 degrees Celsius or less than before industrialization and try not to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius.
The report noted that curbing global warming below this rise of 2 degrees and 1.5 degrees limit would require greenhouse gas emissions to be reduced by 28% and 42% below current policy-based emissions projections by 2030, respectively.
He also explained that even in the most optimistic scenario of fully achieving the decarbonization pledges presented by each country, there is only a 14% chance that global temperature increases will be managed below 1.5 degrees.
“There is an 80% chance that the average annual global temperature will be 1.5 degrees higher than before industrialization within the next five years,” the report said. “There is a 47% chance that the average global temperature between 2024 and 2028 will be 1.5 degrees higher than before industrialization.”
“Currently, one in six countries lacks measures to respond to climate change, and public resources to cope with climate change have also been decreasing since 2020,” he said.
“Urgent action is needed to address the climate crisis,” said WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo. “The decision we make today will determine whether it will lead to a collapse of the future or a breakthrough toward a better world.”
EJ SONG
US ASIA JOURNAL
